Policy Analysis

Pass One Immigration Bill Now - Forget About It for Decades

America's immigration history shows we work best when we pass major reform bills every few decades, then let things settle. It's time for one strong bill to address today's crisis, then move on.

By Research Team

Pass One Immigration Bill Now - Forget About It for Decades
Pass One Immigration Bill Now - Forget About It for Decades Source: Unsplash

Key Findings

  • 1.America passes major immigration legislation roughly once every 30-40 years. The last one was in 1990. We're overdue.
  • 2.The Immigration Act of 2026 should cut legal immigration by 50%+, end H-1B, and restrict intake to Europe and South America.
  • 3.NYC rents rose 620% since 1990 while the city added 1 million foreign-born residents. Immigration drives housing costs.
  • 4.The 1924 Act gave America 40 years of stability - assimilation happened, the middle class grew. That model works.

America doesn't pass immigration bills often. We get one shot every few decades, then live with the consequences for a generation. The 1924 Act lasted 41 years. The 1965 Act went 25 years before the next major reform. The 1990 Act has been the law of the land for 35 years now.

When we do pass these bills, they matter enormously - because they shape the country our children grow up in.

America's Immigration Cycle

175 Years of American Immigration

Annual entries and foreign-born share of population

Annual Legal Immigration

1.4M1.0M0.5M0
First Mass Wave
Restriction Era
Second Mass Wave
1850
0.26M/year
1860
0.23M/year
1870
0.28M/year
1880
0.52M/year
1890
0.37M/year
1900
0.88M/year
1910
0.57M/year
1920
0.41M/year
1930
0.05M/year
1940
0.10M/year
1950
0.25M/year
1960
0.33M/year
1970
0.45M/year
1980
0.73M/year
1990
0.91M/year
2000
1.03M/year
2010
1.04M/year
2020
0.70M/year
2025
1.20M/year
1850190019502000

Foreign-Born % of Population

18%12%6%0%
First Mass Wave
Restriction Era
Second Mass Wave
1850
9.7% foreign-born
1860
13.2% foreign-born
1870
14.4% foreign-born
1880
13.3% foreign-born
1890
14.8% foreign-born
1900
13.6% foreign-born
1910
14.7% foreign-born
1920
13.2% foreign-born
1930
11.6% foreign-born
1940
8.8% foreign-born
1950
6.9% foreign-born
1960
5.4% foreign-born
1970
4.7% foreign-born
1980
6.2% foreign-born
1990
7.9% foreign-born
2000
11.1% foreign-born
2010
12.9% foreign-born
2020
13.7% foreign-born
2025
15.6% foreign-born
1850190019502000
Annual Immigration
Foreign-Born %
Restrictive Law
Expansive Law
1900s

Peak: 0.88M/yr

First Wave

1930s

Low: 0.05M/yr

Restriction Era

2025

Peak: 1.2M/yr

Second Wave

Sources: Migration Policy Institute; Census Bureau Historical Data; DHS Yearbook

The pattern is pretty straightforward when you look at the numbers:

EraForeign-Born %Key Legislation
1910 (Peak Wave 1)14.7%Pre-restriction era
1970 (Post-Restriction)4.7%After 45 years of limits
2025 (Peak Wave 2)15.6%After 1990 Act expansion

The 1924 Immigration Act cut immigration dramatically. For the next four decades, levels stayed low, people assimilated, the middle class flourished, and the issue faded from political debate.

Then the 1965 Hart-Celler Act reopened the doors. The 1990 Act went further - raising caps, creating H-1B, and kicking off the largest wave of immigration in American history.

That was 35 years ago. Congress has tried to pass reform twice since then, in 2007 and 2013. Both failed. Meanwhile the 1990 Act keeps running on autopilot, admitting roughly a million people every year regardless of whether the country can absorb them.

It's time.

The Immigration Act of 2026

Pass the Immigration Act of 2026. One bill. Fix the problem. Then leave it alone for decades.

Core Provisions

ReformCurrentProposed
Total Legal Immigration~1,000,000/year~500,000/year (50%+ reduction)
H-1B Visa Program400,000 approvals/yearNear-complete elimination
Chain MigrationUnlimited extended familySpouses and minor children only
Diversity Lottery55,000/yearEliminated

Geographic Focus: Europe and South America

Immigration would be restricted to countries with cultural compatibility and manageable population sizes:

Eligible Regions:

  • Europe - Shared cultural heritage, democratic values, similar economic development
  • South America - Geographic proximity, Western hemisphere solidarity, established diaspora communities

Primary Pathways:

  • Family Unification - Spouses and minor children of U.S. citizens only (no extended family chains)
  • Exceptional Skills - Not mid-level software engineers. We're talking Nobel laureates, researchers doing work nobody else in the country can do. If you can't convince anyone that this person is irreplaceable among 330 million Americans, the answer is no.

No lottery systems. No unlimited chain migration. No corporate labor arbitrage through H-1B.

What This Achieves

Housing Markets Can Recover

This is basic supply and demand. When you add millions of people competing for the same housing stock, prices go up. MIT economist Albert Saiz found that an immigrant inflow equal to 1% of a city's population pushes rents up by about 1%. Doesn't sound like much until you realize we've been doing this every year for three decades.

Look at New York:

New York City Since the 1990 Immigration Act

YearForeign-Born PopulationForeign-Born %Median RentMedian Home Price
19902.1 million28%$486/mo$180,000
20002.9 million36%$705/mo$275,000
20103.0 million37%$1,100/mo$485,000
20243.1 million38%$3,500/mo$785,000

Since the 1990 Immigration Act took effect, New York added 1 million foreign-born residents. In that same period:

  • Median rent: +620% ($486 → $3,500)
  • Median home price: +336% ($180K → $785K)
  • Foreign-born share: +10 percentage points (28% → 38%)

Same story in Miami, LA, San Francisco, Houston. Every city that absorbed large numbers of immigrants saw the same thing happen to rents.

Cut immigration and the math reverses. Housing supply starts catching up. Young families can actually afford a home. Workers stop spending half their paycheck on rent.

Demographic Stability

People don't like watching their neighborhoods transform beyond recognition every ten years. That's not xenophobia - it's a normal human response. You want some continuity. You want your kids to grow up somewhere that feels like home.

Low immigration gives communities time to breathe. Schools can actually teach instead of running ESL triage. Social services work the way they're supposed to. People assimilate. That's what happened after 1924 and it can happen again.

Labor Market Balance

Who benefits from a million new workers every year? Corporations that want to pay less. Who loses? Every American worker competing for those same jobs.

This isn't complicated. When you flood the labor market, wages stagnate. When you tighten it, wages go up. After 1924, wages rose for 40 straight years. The American middle class was literally built during a period of near-zero immigration. That's not a coincidence.

The Visa Exception

Obviously, if there's a Nobel-caliber scientist or a critical defense researcher that we genuinely need, issue a visa. But that should be the exception - maybe a few thousand people a year, not a million. We don't need mass immigration to fill jobs. We need it to stop.

Who Does Immigration Policy Serve?

The test for any immigration policy is simple: does this help the people already living here?

Right now, the answer is no. Current policy serves companies that want cheaper workers and politicians who want bigger voter blocs. It doesn't serve the nurse in Ohio whose wages haven't moved in 20 years, or the couple in Phoenix who can't afford a starter home.

Flip the incentives. Dramatically lower numbers. Cultural compatibility. Critical skills only.

Pass It, Then Forget It

The whole point is that you do this once and walk away. Pass the bill. Cut immigration by 50%+. End H-1B. Focus on Europe and South America. Done.

History shows this works:

PeriodLegislationYears Without Major ChangeResult
1924-1965Immigration Act of 192441 yearsMiddle class prosperity, assimilation, stable communities
1965-1990Hart-Celler Act25 yearsGradual demographic shift, manageable growth
1990-2025Immigration Act of 199035 yearsMass immigration, housing crisis, wage stagnation

After 1924, immigration basically disappeared as a political issue for 40 years. Nobody was arguing about it because the problem was solved. The country assimilated its existing immigrants, the middle class expanded, and life went on.

That's the goal. Pass a strong bill, let things settle, and revisit in 30 years if anything actually changes. Until then, stop the constant debates. America has bigger problems to worry about.


Sources

Housing Impact Research

Immigration Statistics

Image Credit