Policy Tracker

Tracking progress on key immigration reform policies. Data updated monthly with sources from government agencies and official reports.

Reform Progress Overview

99%
#1. New Illegal Crossings
Goal: Zero illegal entries
50%
#2. Removal (Felons Priority)
Goal: Remove all illegal immigrants, starting with convicted felons
25%
#3. Legal Immigration Reduction
Goal: Reduce to ~200K/yr
30%
#4. Replace H-1B with H1
Goal: Replace H-1B with the pre-1990 H1 standard, capped under 10,000 a year
20%
#5. Immigration Fraud
Goal: Detect and prosecute immigration fraud
80%
#6. Country Restrictions
Goal: Restrict immigration from high-risk nations
20%
#7. Foreign Property
Goal: Federal ban on foreign property ownership; green-card minimum; one-year divestment

Each score reflects where we expect the goal to stand by the end of the current administration's term, assuming the enforcement trajectory since January 2025 holds. It is not a snapshot of where things would be if policy stopped today.

#1 New Illegal Border Crossings

Successful
99%
0%25%50%75%100%
-98%
Drop in illegal entries since the 2023 peak
Estimated actual entries down from peak of ~140K/month to ~2K/month
~12K/mo
Southwest border encounters
Lowest in over 50 years; down from a Biden-era average of ~155K/month

Illegal entry across the southern border has dropped to its lowest level in over 50 years. 12,901 encounters were recorded at the southern border in June 2026, with an estimated 2,000 entries into the country. The number of entries has dropped from a high of about 140,000 a month in December 2023 under the Biden Administration. Border Patrol released zero illegal immigrants into the country every month from May 2025 onward, a streak that reached 14 consecutive months in June 2026. Known gotaways, the people detected crossing but not caught, ran above 2,000 a day at the 2023 peak and now run under 50 a day nationwide.

For the first time since the 2021 border surge began, most new illegal presence comes from visa overstays rather than illegal border crossings.

Last updated: August 2026

#2 Removal of Illegal Immigrants (Priority to felons)

On Track
50%
0%25%50%75%100%
145,000
Arrested with a criminal conviction since January 2025
Illegal immigrants who already held a criminal conviction beyond their immigration status. 55,000 violent, 90,000 serious non-violent.
55,000
Arrested with a violent conviction
Reduction of 55,000 illegal immigrants convicted of homicide, sexual assault, assault and robbery.
90,000
Arrested with a serious non-violent conviction
Reduction of 90,000 illegal immigrants with DUI, drugs, weapons and child exploitation charges.
290,603
ICE removals, independently counted
TRAC at Syracuse University counts formal ICE removals across 2025 and 2026 to date, 234,211 of them after January 20, 2025. DHS counts about 622,000 because its figure also includes CBP removals and returns at the border.
435,000
Convicted criminals still at large
On the ICE non-detained docket: about 15,000 tied to homicide, 20,000 to sexual assault and 105,000 to assault.

Since January 2025, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has arrested 145,000 illegal immigrants who already held a criminal conviction. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) reports there have been around 856,000 deportations in that same period, not to include another 1.9 million self-deportations. Roughly 55,000 of those convictions were violent: 43,000 for assault, 5,400 for sexual assault, 2,700 for robbery and 2,100 for homicide. Another 90,000 were serious non-violent, including 30,000 for DUI, 22,600 for drug offenses and 6,100 for weapons charges. More than 7,000 gang members were taken in, among them MS-13 and Tren de Aragua members, along with 1,538 known or suspected terrorists, 1,534 of whom have since been removed.

About 435,000 illegal immigrants with criminal convictions are still on the ICE non-detained docket, including roughly 15,000 tied to homicide, 20,000 to sexual assault and 105,000 to assault.

Last updated: August 2026

#4 Replacement of H1-B with H1 Visa Program

Medium
30%
0%25%50%75%100%
85K/yr
New cap-subject H-1B visas
Cap unchanged - only Congress can lower it. 65,000 plus 20,000 reserved for holders of U.S. advanced degrees.
328,185
H-1B approvals, 2025
Down from 399,402 in 2024. Approvals count renewals and cap-exempt employers, which is why the total runs far above the 85,000 cap.
~344K
H-1B lottery registrations, 2026
Down 26.9% from 470,342 for 2025 as anti-fraud rules and the wage-weighted draw thinned the applicant pool
~730K
H-1B workers living in the U.S.
About 1.3 million people including spouses and children
-18%
Reduction in H-1B approvals since January 2025
71,217 fewer approvals in 2025 than 2024. The October-December 2025 quarter ran 45% below the year before, so 2026 is tracking near 191,000.

The H-1B visa is a temporary visa given to foreign workers in what the law calls a specialty occupation, meaning any job that requires a bachelor's degree. A worker is tied to a sponsoring employer, and once the visa status expires, it has to be renewed or it is revoked.

The Trump administration has imposed a $100,000 fee on each new H-1B petition (imposed by executive order in September 2025) and a wage-weighted lottery. The $100,000 fee has been voided by a Federal Judge as of June 2026 but the lottery has been in effect since February 2026.

Read our article on this policy
Last updated: August 2026

#5 Immigration Fraud Inquiries

Early Stages
20%
0%25%50%75%100%
19,300
Fraud cases completed by USCIS
USCIS found fraud in 65% of their reviewed cases
33,000+
Fraud referrals since Jan 2025
USCIS referrals to law enforcement, up 138% from 2024.
33
Denaturalization suits filed, May-June 2026
15 in May and 18 in the first twelve days of June, against a historical average of 0.6 a month
14,000+
Cases referred to ICE
For national security and fraud concerns
166
Denaturalization suits, 2008 to June 2026
Count of all civil denaturalization complaints in federal district courts, from TRAC at Syracuse University, which obtains federal case records through FOIA.

This section is harder to measure because there is no fixed target number - the goal is straightforward: if immigration fraud is found, it leads to arrests and/or denaturalization.

U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) has completed 19,300 fraud cases with a 65% fraud confirmation rate and has made 33,000+ referrals to ICE Homeland Security Investigations (138% increase). Operation Twin Shield examined 1,000+ cases in Minneapolis-St. Paul, finding fraud or security concerns in 44% of interviews. USCIS has flagged 182 confirmed national security risks and issued a record 196,000 notices to appear in 2025.

Denaturalization has now accelerated sharply. The federal government historically filed fewer than one civil denaturalization suit a month (average of 0.6/month). In May 2026 it filed 15, and 18 more in the first twelve days of June. TRAC, the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse at Syracuse University, which obtains federal case records through Freedom of Information Act requests, counts 166 complaints in total between 2008 and June 12, 2026, which means roughly a fifth of everything filed in eighteen years came in those six weeks. USCIS field offices have been directed to supply 100 to 200 cases a month. Operation Janus is the government program that hunts for people who became citizens despite having been ordered deported under a different name. It began in 2008 after a border officer found 206 immigrants who had final deportation orders but had reused new identities to win green cards and citizenship. USCIS later discovered roughly 315,000 naturalization files where the fingerprints were never digitized or did not match - meaning the criminal-background check behind those citizenships was never verified. That backlog is the pool Janus is now working through. The DOJ issued a June 2025 memo directing attorneys to "maximally pursue denaturalization proceedings," but the legal process is slow: stripping citizenship requires the government to win a separate federal lawsuit for each person.

Documented fraud patterns include: Feeding Our Future ($350M+, 65 convicted of 79 charged, founder Aimee Bock sentenced to 41 years 8 months), Chinese marriage fraud rings (11 charged in Navy sham marriage scheme), Indian H-1B visa fraud (Infosys $34M settlement), and Cuban asylum fraud ($18M smuggling ring, 12 indicted) (see broader list below).

Read our article on this policy
Last updated: August 2026

#6 Country Immigration Restrictions

On Track
80%
0%25%50%75%100%
38
Countries on full/partial travel ban
19 full ban + 19 partial restrictions
75
Countries on immigrant visa freeze
Green card processing frozen indefinitely
90
Distinct countries with some restriction
38 on the travel ban plus 52 more on the visa freeze alone

The U.S. has imposed a full travel ban on 19 countries (all visa types blocked): Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Burma (Myanmar), Chad, Republic of the Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Haiti, Iran, Laos, Libya, Mali, Niger, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Syria, and Yemen. An additional 19 countries face partial restrictions (immigrant visas + tourist/student visas blocked): Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Benin, Burundi, Cote d'Ivoire, Cuba, Dominica, Gabon, The Gambia, Malawi, Mauritania, Nigeria, Senegal, Tanzania, Togo, Tonga, Venezuela, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Separately, 75 countries have had immigrant visa (green card) processing frozen indefinitely as of January 2026 - since a green card is the only path to U.S. citizenship, this effectively blocks permanent immigration from these nations.

Recommendation: The three tiers now reach 90 distinct countries - a substantial restriction, but one built almost entirely on executive authority. Section 212(f) is a presidential discretion, and the public-charge freeze is a State Department interpretation; a future administration could lift either on its first day. The durable step is to write the country-level distribution into law, alongside a replacement for the 1990 Immigration Act that lowers the annual cap to roughly 200,000 and eliminates the Diversity Visa lottery. The 1924 Immigration Act set both its country distribution and its volume by law, and it held across both parties for 41 years; an executive proclamation lasts only until the next administration reverses it.

Read our article on this policy
Last updated: August 2026

#7 Restrict Foreign Property Ownership

Early Stages
20%
0%25%50%75%100%
28
States restricting foreign ownership
More than half the country now limits foreign farmland purchases, most targeting China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia
46M+ acres
Foreign-owned U.S. farmland
3.6% of all privately held farmland, as of December 31, 2024, up more than 1.3 million acres in a year. Entities linked to foreign adversaries hold at least 277,000 acres
67,100
Homes bought by foreign buyers
Worth $45.3 billion in the year through March 2026, down 14% by count and 19.1% by value, the second-lowest level since tracking began in 2009. Median price $465,000
0
Federal laws banning foreign purchases
The only federal law (1978) requires farmland owners to report their holdings; none bars a purchase or requires divestment

Foreign citizens and foreign governments own about 45.8 million acres of American farmland - roughly 3.4% of all privately-owned farmland in the country. They also buy an average of about 100,000 existing U.S. homes a year, worth around $56 billion, based on the 2020-2024 average tracked by the National Association of Realtors.

The 100,000 buyers split into two groups, both of them non-citizens. A little over half live in the United States - recent immigrants who have been here less than two years, or people on temporary visas such as H-1B work visas and student visas. These buyers mostly purchase a single-family house in the suburbs to live in. The rest live abroad and never move here. They buy U.S. homes as vacation properties or rental investments, and most pay all cash. Neither group has to be a citizen, and the federal government sets no requirement that a buyer hold a green card or live in the country.

Washington does nothing to stop any of it. The only federal law on foreign farmland, passed in 1978, just requires foreign owners to report what they own - it bans no purchase. Twenty-eight states have written their own restrictions, most aimed at China and other hostile governments.

Recommendation: Lawful permanent resident status (green card) should be the minimum to purchase any U.S. real estate. Foreign-state entities and sovereign wealth funds should be barred entirely. Existing foreign-owned property should be divested within one year of legislative enactment. A separate Center article will cover the full mechanism and constitutional questions.

Read our article on this policy
Last updated: August 2026

Progress percentages are editorial assessments based on publicly available data from CBP, USCIS, DOJ, and Department of State. These figures represent the organization's evaluation of policy progress toward stated goals and are updated monthly.